Tantrum
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 91
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 10/08/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/10/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 25/11/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/05/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 02/07/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |