Honor Quest

3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 35

Thistledown · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼3

Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 6

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-22	Thistledown	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-08-31	Thistledown	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-06-20	Thistledown	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-04-01	Mahoning Valley	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-03-02	Mahoning Valley	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2026-01-21	Mahoning Valley	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 81/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/01/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	67%	-0.15
21/01/2026	7th	5/1	74%	0%	-0.74
02/03/2026	4th	15/2	61%	40%	-0.21
01/04/2026	6th	12/1	37%	50%	+0.13
20/06/2026	6th	16/1	16%	38%	+0.22
31/08/2026	5th	14/1	26%	50%	+0.24
22/09/2026	5th	14/1	26%	33%	+0.07