1
Laos Lucy
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1
Thistledown · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength78%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |