6
Badbury Rings
7yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 110
Worcester · CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-27 | Taunton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Wincanton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Taunton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2024-12-12 | Taunton | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2024-11-13 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Wincanton | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 27/10/2024 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 13/11/2024 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/12/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/02/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |