1

Dartan

9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 130

Worcester · CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful hurdler but below that level over fences. Didn't fire in 2 runs for new yard 6 months apart last season and his mark looks stiff now handicapping in this sphere back from a breathing operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 13.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -5.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA91 @ Curragh 29/09/2024 · Pos 20th of 30 · OR 91 · 2m170y Goo 124 · below its mark29/09/2024 · OR 91 par29/0991OR 911 @ Aintree 05/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 137 · 3m149y Gd 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2025 · OR 137 parC0 @ Tipperary 08/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m7f110y Goo 1668/05C?BHA136 @ Kilbeggan 16/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 136 · 3m50y Goo 166 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 136 parBHA139 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 139 · 2m6f131y Gd 166 · below its mark26/05/2025 · OR 139 par26/05139OR 139BHA87 @ Curragh 29/06/2025 · Pos 20th of 25 · OR 87 · 2m Goo 127 · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 87 parC0 @ Kilbeggan 11/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 3m1f80y Gd 16611/07C?3 @ Uttoxeter 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 2 · OR 135 · 3m10y Gd 160 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 135 par2 @ Haydock 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 135 · 3m58y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 135 par15/042OR 135projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-15Haydock29th8th+1
2025-10-17Uttoxeter32nd2nd0
2025-07-11Kilbeggan?3rd3rd0
2025-06-29CurraghBHA8720th27th−6
2025-05-26BallinrobeBHA13914th27th−11
2025-05-16KilbegganBHA1362nd15th−11

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0916/0511/0715/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/202420th66/10%34%+0.34
05/04/20258th66/10%56%+0.56
08/05/202510th10/147%36%-0.12
16/05/20252nd22/10%92%+0.92
26/05/202514th18/15%13%+0.08
29/06/202520th40/10%21%+0.21
11/07/20253rd15/890%33%-0.57
17/10/20252nd9/488%0%-0.88
15/04/20269th66/10%11%+0.11