Snipe
9yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 126
Worcester · CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Warwick | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Newton Abbot | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Taunton | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 26/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 22/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |