Bel Ombre
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 108
Worcester · CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Fontwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Taunton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Huntingdon | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Chepstow | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2024 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 24/01/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/03/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |