In The Age
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 114
Worcester · CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Catterick | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aintree | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-02-17 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/02/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |