3
Le Soleil Reve
5yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 112
Worcester · CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | Wincanton | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Wincanton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Exeter | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Hereford | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-19 | Exeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2024 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 23/02/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 25/02/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 36% | -0.48 |