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6

Dundee Law

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Worcester · Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race) · 2m

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

From the family of Champion Hurdle winner Punjabi and improved on his debut form when second of 4 in a Carlisle bumper (17f, good) in March. Has since left Stuart Crawford's yard and could well have more to offer in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ayr 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 2m Sft 1487/0355 @ Carlisle 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 14622/035projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22Carlisle52nd3rd−1
2026-03-07Ayr53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0322/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +116.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20263rd9/276%0%-0.76
22/03/20262nd14/126%67%+0.40