IvyArcIvyArc
3

Royalty Row'd

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Worcester · Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race) · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Soldier of Fortune gelding who showed plenty when third of 8 in 2m Perth bumper on debut in May. Failed to take a step forward at Market Rasen the following month but wasn't ideally placed and is worth another chance back from a break (had breathing operation).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m47y Goo 15614/0545 @ Market Rasen 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 15619/065projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Market Rasen54th5th−1
2026-05-14Perth43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -52.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16
19/06/20264th9/276%40%-0.36