3
Guildhall Graduate
3yo Filly · 10-12
Worcester · CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA55 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA55 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA57 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA60 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | BHA63 | 11th | 14th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 13/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |