7

Song Of The Stars
3yo Filly · 10-12
Worcester · CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/01/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |