8
Talka
3yo Filly · 10-12
Worcester · CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |