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Action Replay

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 2m

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Behind when falling in an Irish point in February and has made a listless start under Rules in a couple of maiden hurdles here. One for later on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Worcester 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 15525/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Worcester45th5th0
2026-09-10Worcester40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20265th50/10%50%+0.50