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11

Drakaris

5yo Mare · 10-11

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 2m

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising second in a Sedgefield bumper on debut. Caught the attention of the stewards when again well held at long odds at Bangor in March. Should get a mark after this run and is one to note for handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 24/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m178y Sft 14924/1155 @ Sedgefield 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m178y GS 15626/1254 @ Ludlow 04/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f169y Sft 1474/0244 @ Hereford 22/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m53y Sft 16022/0244 @ Bangor-on-Dee 21/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f123y Goo 15421/034projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-21Bangor-on-Dee48th8th0
2026-02-22Hereford48th8th0
2026-02-04Ludlow47th7th0
2025-12-26Sedgefield53rd4th−1
2025-11-24Sedgefield52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1126/124/0222/0221/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +15.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20252nd7/282%75%-0.07
26/12/20253rd7/491%33%-0.57
04/02/20267th80/10%40%+0.40
22/02/20268th80/10%42%+0.42
21/03/20268th80/10%22%+0.22