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9

Pedro's Moon

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 2m

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to meet market expectations first time up when eighth of 10 in C&D bumper in August and tailed-off last of 7 on hurdling debut at Uttoxeter (2m, good) on Sunday. Can only be watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15323/0854 @ Uttoxeter 04/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 1574/104projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Uttoxeter47th7th0
2026-08-23Worcester58th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +65.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20268th9/488%22%-0.66
04/10/20267th40/10%0%0.00