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6

Spanish Darling

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice from 4 starts in points and built on initial promise under Rules when winning 8-runner bumper over C&D (good to soft) last month. Has left Tom George since and worth a second look in the betting on hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15623/0855 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m Gd 15610/095projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester51st2nd−1
2026-08-23Worcester53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
10/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13