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Eustace Grenier

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hit the frame in his bumpers and same story both starts over hurdles, albeit he took a slight backward step from his opening effort at Worcester in May. Off since and may need a stiffer test of stamina to be seen to best effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f182y Sft 15614/1152 @ Windsor 18/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS18/0125 @ Huntingdon 11/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 15911/0354 @ Perth 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m47y Goo 15424/0444 @ Worcester 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m Gd 15822/054projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-22Worcester44th4th0
2026-04-24Perth43rd3rd0
2026-03-11Huntingdon54th5th−1
2026-01-18Windsor23rd1st+2
2025-11-14Southwell54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1118/0111/0324/0422/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 66/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength1%

Delivery trend -11.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20254th16/116%70%+0.54
18/01/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
11/03/20264th11/893%63%-0.30
24/04/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
22/05/20264th13/266%67%+0.01