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6

Taranis Dubh

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won sole start in Irish points and shaped as if the run would bring him on when third of 8 in a Newton Abbot bumper in April, no extra only final 50 yds. Failed to justify favouritism sent hurdling at Warwick soon after but it was by no means a bad effort in second. Tongue tie on for return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newton Abbot 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 15814/0444 @ Warwick 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m Gd 1599/054projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09Warwick42nd2nd0
2026-04-14Newton Abbot43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/049/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +15.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20263rd10/1195%71%-0.24
09/05/20262nd11/1094%86%-0.09