13
Tottie's Moon
4yo Filly · 10-10
Worcester · FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 2m
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |