Delta Legend
6yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 73
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#10
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Hereford | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-04-18 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-02-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2024 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 9% | -0.46 |
| 29/12/2024 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 11/01/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/01/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 18/02/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/09/2026 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |