9

Famous Shoes

5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 84

Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Signs of ability on the Flat for Karl Burke but there have been very few positives to take from his efforts in this sphere so far. Makes return and every chance he could show much more now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 03/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f14y Std 1303/0955 @ Ripon 28/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f10y Sft 13028/0955 @ Doncaster 04/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f197y GF 1424/0754 @ Uttoxeter 16/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f207y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS16/0945 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m2f37y Goo 137 · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 74 par9/105OR 744 @ Taunton 24/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m104y Gd 159 · HIGHER CLASS24/034projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-24Taunton45th4th+1
2026-03-09Taunton4+1
2026-02-07Newbury3+2
2025-12-16Wincanton4+1
2025-10-09Bath511th11th0
2025-09-16Uttoxeter49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0928/094/0716/099/1024/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/202410th22/10%31%+0.31
28/09/20244th33/10%40%+0.40
04/07/20255th66/10%56%+0.56
16/09/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
09/10/202511th40/10%0%0.00
24/03/20265th100/10%33%+0.33