Jollie Dame
5yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 98
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Warwick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | 1 | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Warwick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |