Monark Wood
4yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 87
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Sedgefield | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Huntingdon | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |