2

Play On Court

5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 94

Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has one standout effort and never figured on handicap debut back in May. Handicapper drops him 4 lb but difficult to know what to expect on return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Uttoxeter 31/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f168y GS 15531/1055 @ Warwick 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m Goo 15631/1254 @ Exeter 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m161y GS 160 · HIGHER CLASS17/0344 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS2/0445 @ Ffos Las 05/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 98 · 2m4f Goo 166 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 98 par5/055OR 98projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-05Ffos Las57th7th0
2026-04-02Chepstow46th5th+1
2026-03-17Exeter44th3rd+1
2026-01-17Taunton4+1
2025-12-31Warwick56th6th0
2025-10-31Uttoxeter510th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1031/1217/032/045/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 44/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/202510th100/10%0%0.00
31/12/20256th300/10%38%+0.38
17/03/20264th300/10%77%+0.77
02/04/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
05/05/20267th33/10%33%+0.33