Thesoldiersminit
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 88
Worcester · PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Huntingdon | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Market Rasen | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Southwell | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Bangor-on-Dee | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2025-11-12 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Worcester | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |