7
Constantinian
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 101
Worcester · CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Ffos Las | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Carlisle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Hereford | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-16 | Wincanton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 76/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 16/03/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |