1
Gasmani
7yo Gelding · 12-1 · OR 111
Worcester · CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taunton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Taunton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Ascot | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-11 | Carlisle | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/05/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 18/10/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 11/11/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 21/04/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |