8

Roe And Co

8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 98

Worcester · CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little show in 3 starts over hurdles but proved a different beast over fences last season, completing a hat-trick at Leicester back in December. Ended his campaign with a whimper though and returns for a new yard with attentions reverted to hurdles in first-time blinkers. Best watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 09/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f100y Sft 1609/0244 @ Newton Abbot 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m5f122y Goo 15819/0945 @ Ffos Las 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 2m7f177y Gd 168 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 98 par16/105OR 984 @ Chepstow 05/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 94 · 2m7f136y Goo 157 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 94 par5/114OR 944 @ Market Rasen 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 94 · 2m7f191y Goo 152 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 94 par13/114OR 945 @ Leicester 04/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 100 · 2m6f151y Goo 168 · beat its mark04/12/2025 · OR 100 par4/125OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Plumpton40
2026-01-11Fontwell5−1
2025-12-04Leicester51st2nd−1
2025-11-13Market Rasen41st1st0
2025-11-05Chepstow41st1st0
2025-10-16Ffos Las53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0219/0916/105/1113/114/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20258th18/15%46%+0.41
19/09/20254th6/168%40%-0.28
16/10/20253rd9/488%67%-0.21
05/11/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
13/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
04/12/20251st11/893%100%+0.07