Vicki Vale
9yo Mare · 11-13 · OR 109
Worcester · CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Fakenham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-10-09 | Ludlow | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-21 | Worcester | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2024-04-20 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-03-31 | Plumpton | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-02-20 | Taunton | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2023 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/11/2023 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 09/12/2023 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 08/01/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 20/02/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 31/03/2024 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 20/04/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 09/10/2024 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |