18:00 · Colonial Downs

Race 4 - Allowance

1m 2fYielding3YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav2
OR 10115/8
Etawa silks

Gary Barber

4yo Filly · 8-11

Kingman - Etneya (Siyouni)

Sonny Leon60%0/1Mark Casse
613262
7.0

Class Advantage

11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/0924/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%11/09Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%21/03Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%6/06Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%5/07
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 779/4
Lien On Her silks

Sab Stable, Inc

4yo Filly · 8-11

Demarchelier - Helen (Gio Ponti)

Jareth Loveberry60%Hugh McMahon60%
3111
8.0

Class Advantage

15/02 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a15/028/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par8/0317/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/0425/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%15/02Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%8/03Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%25/06
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 849/4
Nick's Notion silks

Eric Rizer

4yo Filly · 8-11

Great Notion - In Bella's Honor (Malibu Moon)

Forest Boyce60%W Bailes
623152
6.0

Class Advantage

27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0424/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par26/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%27/04Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%20/06Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%16/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%28/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Top Pick1
OR 948/1
Soul Dance silks

Cayton Park Stud

4yo Filly · 8-11

Camelot - Be More (Shamardal)

Jose Vargas60%−5lbH Motion
222626
5.0Going 9.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0612/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par3/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%25/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 86%25/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%3/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%12/06
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 7616/1
Princess Clemmie silks

Why Not Racing Llc

4yo Filly · 8-13

Imagining - Princess Perry (Point Given)

Taylor Kingsley60%0/1−7lbLilith Boucher60%
657441
6.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

5/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/1019/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par7/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par8/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%5/10Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%7/11Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%12/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%8/07
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 9310/1
Siouxse silks

Sierra Thoroughbreds

3yo Filly · 8-6

Union Rags - Mattieandmorgan (Smart Strike)

Jorge Ruiz60%H Motion
42144
6.0

Class Advantage

28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/0812/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par15/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par15/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%28/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%12/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%15/11Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%15/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%11/06
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 7140/1
Lolo's Girl silks

Thomas Holyfield

4yo Filly · 8-11

Oscar Performance - Swear By It (Broken Vow)

Mychel Sanchez60%J Desormeaux
084421
3.0

Class Advantage

31/01 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a31/0123/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par23/029/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par9/0323/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/03projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%31/01Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%23/02Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 89%9/03Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%23/03
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend