21:09 · Saratoga

Race 8 - Glens Falls Stakes - Grade 2

1m 4f4YO plusDIRT11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
3
OR 1099/4
Gezora silks

Peter Brant

4yo Filly · 8-12

Almanzor - Germance (Silver Hawk)

Junior Alvarado60%William Mott60%
120128
4.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

15/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/067/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par5/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%5/10Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 86%1/05Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%5/06
Projected finish1st of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
Value2
OR 10514/1
Speed Shopper silks

Barber, Gary, Bridlewood Farm And Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners

5yo Mare · 8-10

Quality Road - Fast Retailing (Malibu Moon)

Irad Ortiz Jr70%William Walden60%
211317
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1021/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/12 · mark par24/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par24/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par5/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%4/10Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%24/01Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%24/04Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%5/06
Projected finish2nd of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 10310/3
Massarat silks

Shadwell Stable

4yo Filly · 8-8

Curlin - Ayaady (Tapit)

Manuel Franco60%1/1Brendan Walsh60%
411841
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/0529/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%1/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%15/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%21/06
Projected finish3rd of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 1059/2
Storm Miami silks

Egl-one Racing

5yo Mare · 8-8

Blue Point - Cosmic Love (Sea The Stars)

John Velazquez60%Amelia Green
25542D
4.0

Class Advantage

27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1111/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par18/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%27/11Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%1/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%1/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%13/06
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Top Pick1
OR 10920/1
Survie silks

Michael Tabor

5yo Mare · 8-8

Churchill - Sotteville (Le Havre)

Flavien Prat60%G Boughey60%
013436
4.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

7/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/094/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par31/01 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par3/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par16/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%7/09Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%31/01Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%3/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%16/06
Projected finish5th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
8
OR 1097/1
Alluring Angel silks

Lawrence Goichman

6yo Mare · 8-8

Fastnet Rock - All Of Me (Teofilo)

Kendrick Carmouche60%1/2William Mott60%
431782
5.0

Class Advantage

28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/085/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par8/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par24/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/12 · mark par24/01 · C1 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%28/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%8/11Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%24/01Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%13/06
Projected finish6th of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
Market Fav9
OR 1062/1
Dona Clota silks

Resolute Racing

6yo Mare · 8-10

Ivan Denisovich - Delfa (Total Impact)

Javier Castellano60%S Joseph Jr60%
053761
5.0

Class Advantage

25/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/0128/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%25/01Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%28/02Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%1/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%13/06
Projected finish7th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 10814/1
Favorite Memory silks

John Gunther

4yo Filly · 8-8

Frankel - Smart Change (Smart Strike)

Jose Ortiz60%Cherie Devaux80%
191936
4.0

Class Advantage

27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0619/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par14/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par26/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par20/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%20/11Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%30/05
Projected finish8th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 11014/1
Venencia silks

Miller Racing Llc

6yo Mare · 8-8

Recoletos - Sign Of Life (Lemon Drop Kid)

Micah Husbands60%S Joseph Jr60%
164662
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/1024/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/12 · mark par24/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par24/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%19/10Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%24/01Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%24/04Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%23/05
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend