13:10 · Chester

Radnor Hills Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 4f 63yGoodClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
3
OR 8210/3
Charmaine silks

Elite Racing Club

5yo Mare · 10-1

Camelot - Zest (Duke Of Marmalade)

Daniel Muscutt70%2/11J R Fanshawe60%
262444
5.0

A consistent sort that was a dual all-weather winner at Southwell and at this course last spring. Back in good heart in 2026 and was far from discredited when fourth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 34 days ago. Mark has since eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/0821/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par4/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%28/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%4/04Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%22/05Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 73%29/06
Projected finish1st of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 8628/1
Timber Twelve silks

Mr R A Pegum

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Ulysses - Wood Chorus (Singspiel)

Ross Coakley1/1M L W Bell60%
11451
7.0

Won 1m all-weather novices on first 2 starts. Wasn't able to continue his progress on handicap bow but ran well over 10.3f here next time and produced a much improved effort when readily winning a 10-runner event at Epsom (1½m, good to firm) 32 days ago. Should take some catching from stall 1.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0921/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 60%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%5/09Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%28/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%30/05Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%1/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Top Pick1
OR 829/1
Patagonia Girl silks

Mr D R Passant & Mr E Spragg

4yo Filly · 10-1

Australia - Katiesheidinlisa (Camelot)

David Probert70%0/2H Palmer60%
021758
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Made all over C&D in May before struggling in Group 3 contest at Carlisle. Looked back in form over 10.3f here on her penultimate start but below form over that same trip here last time. Still unexposed over this far, though.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/0711/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par30/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 23%30/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%27/06Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%10/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 8014/1
Kuredu King silks

Ian Furlong & Neil Clayton

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Churchill - Orcia (Shamardal)

Joanna Mason60%D McCain Jnr70%
915143
5.0
Blinkers

Progressive staying handicapper for the Gosdens last summer who finished well held in a couple of hurdle starts for new yard. However, he ran well when fourth in a 2m handicap on return to the Flat here in May but didn't look to have the pace for 1¾m at Newmarket last time. Down further in trip now.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/0718/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par11/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%26/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%11/03Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%30/05Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%20/06
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav4
OR 7315/8
L'Eagle Aid silks

Two Goldfish & A Balloon

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Free Eagle - Acres Of Diamonds (Sea The Stars)

Jack CallanC Johnston60%
566353
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Has shaped with some promise a couple of times this summer and didn't find a steady gallop playing to his strengths when third of 4 in handicap at Catterick (1½m, good to firm, 15/8) 11 days ago. Respected with cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par21/0312/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%21/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%8/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%11/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%22/07
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 7917/2
Westerton silks

Alan Baxter & Shaun Sowray

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Belardo - Aubusson (Montjeu)

George Wood60%J Candlish
635059
3.0

Winless for some time but pretty consistent in defeat for bulk of last season (when trained by Alan King). Unlucky not to shed maiden tag over hurdles at Warwick in May and seemed unsuited by the step up in trip at Cartmel last time. Market should still prove best guide back on the level.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/0823/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 1m 4f 63y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%2/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 11%11/09Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%20/05Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%20/07
Projected finish6th of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 7811/4
Level Look silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Passing Glance - Inclyne (Intello)

Oisin Murphy70%A M Balding60%
0414
4.0

Left his first 2 runs behind to win 4-runner novice at Newcastle (1¼m) in January. Too keen on his return from 6 months off when last of 4 on his handicap debut at Newmarket (1½m, good to firm, 11/4) 16 days ago. Should still prove fully effective at this trip.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/1222/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/129/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0117/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 4f 63y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%1/12Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 73%22/12Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/01Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/07
Projected finish7th of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend