18:16 · Ellis Park

Race 4 - Allowance

1mFast3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 8714/1
Queen Of Capri silks

Bradley Thoroughbreds, Dervenis, Steve, Northcutt, Allen, Areion Thoroughbreds, Cambron Equine, Llc, Starr, Kent, Starr, Sara And Hancock, Scott

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mckinzie - Amalfi Queen (Tapit)

Jaime Torres60%1/2Riley Mott60%
51
7.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/086/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FastDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%18/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav2
OR 959/4
Balaclava silks

Vanier, Nancy A And Williamson, Lyda

3yo Filly · 8-6

Bold Warrior - Kepi (Strategic Mission)

Ben Curtis60%1/1Brian Williamson70%
141
8.0

Class Advantage

24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a24/0521/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/0611/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 33%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%21/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
3
OR 10020/1
In Total Awe silks

Bal Mar Equine, Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Constitution - High Regard (Will Take Charge)

Axel Concepcion60%1/1Albert Stall60%
1
8.0

Class Advantage

28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: FastDist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%28/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 879/1
Crimsonite silks

Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC

4yo Filly · 8-12

Tapit - Bleeding Heart (Broken Vow)

Keith Asmussen60%1/4Steven Asmussen
166842
5.0

Class Advantage

26/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/0914/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par21/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par22/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 17%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%26/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%21/12Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%22/03Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%12/07
Projected finish4th of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 886/1
Colonial Rose silks

Quarter Pole Club Vi, Llc

5yo Mare · 8-12

Constitution - Colby Cakes (Scat Daddy)

Francisco Arrieta60%Norm Casse60%
133925
4.0

Class Advantage

11/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/0925/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par28/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par4/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%11/09Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%28/11Pos 9 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 9 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%26/02Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%21/06
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 859/1
Rando silks

8 Star Racing

4yo Filly · 9-0

Vino Rosso - Gas Station Sushi (Into Mischief)

Cristian Torres60%1/3Aaron Shorter60%
222514
5.0

Class Advantage

13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/0312/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par22/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FastDist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%13/03Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%30/04Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%12/07
Projected finish6th of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 8516/1
Majestical silks

C R K Stable Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Good Magic - On Reflection (Malibu Moon)

D E Sheehy60%P Eurton60%
21627
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

29/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/1127/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par14/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 60%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 90%29/11Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%9/04Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%30/05
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend