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19:49 · Monmouth Park

Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming

5f 110yFirm3YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market Fav2
OR 779/4
Island Spirit silks

Reeve Schley

Island Spirit

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6yo Gelding · 8-11

Sea Wizard - Vodka High (Mount Mckinley)

Jose Ferrer60%Rory Huston60%
396411
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par28/0914/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/01 · mark par11/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/02 · mark par7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%28/09Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%11/02Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
Top Pick1
OR 8511/2
St. Erling silks

Liberation Farm And Milne, Joan

St. Erling

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4yo Colt · 8-13

Frosted - Spun Silver (Grand Slam)

Chantal Sutherland60%1/2Joan Milne
523221
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/0726/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par13/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%25/08Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%28/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 834/1
Party Guest silks

Hope Jones

Party Guest

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3yo Colt · 8-10

The Factor - Party Boat (Into Mischief)

Christian Maragh60%0/1−7lbH Motion60%
81
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a26/0710/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 50%Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%26/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%10/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
3
OR 839/2
Matthew's Ticket silks

Mopo Racing

Matthew's Ticket

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3yo Gelding · 8-10

Fortune Ticket - Jazzy Java (Nobiz Like Shobiz)

Edwin Gonzalez80%Course spec.Phillip Capuano60%
33641
6.0

Class Advantage

20/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a20/1216/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par27/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par17/04 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 20%Dist: 5f 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%20/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%16/01Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%27/02Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%17/04Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/06
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 6933/1
Legendary Thunder silks

Richard Malouf

Legendary Thunder

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5yo Gelding · 8-11

Friesan Fire - Murphy Style (Tomorrows Cat)

Luis Rivera Jr60%Kelly Breen
733255
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

5/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/1024/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par26/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par9/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%5/10Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%7/09Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%26/10Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%9/05
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
7
OR 589/2
Perrotto silks

Prancing Horse Farm, Llc

Perrotto

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5yo Gelding · 8-11

Redesdale - Rockin Heather (In Excess)

Charlie Marquez60%0/1Sergio Rabadan
855603
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/0814/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par14/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 50%Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 42%24/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%18/10Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%26/07
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 727/1
The Pauly Factor silks

Big Hands Stables, Llc

The Pauly Factor

profile

3yo Colt · 8-8

The Factor - Creative Legacy (Creative Cause)

Jose Gomez60%Amelia Green90%
81567
3.0Class ↓1
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/0928/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par21/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 60%Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%1/09Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%28/09Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%21/11Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%23/05Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%12/07
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
8
OR 6816/1
Clever Charlie silks

Charles Kromann

Clever Charlie

profile

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Flameaway - Countess Geraldine (Love Of Money)

Melissa Iorio60%Kelly Breen
436186
4.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/0828/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%24/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%17/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%13/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%12/07
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend