15:47 · Naas

Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series)

5f 205yGoing TBC2YO onlyTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 8311/4
Weekend Roar silks

Middleham Park Racing CXIV

2yo Colt · 9-0

Supremacy - Tamara Love (Tamayuz)

Billy Lee60%H Palmer60%
31
9.0

£105,000 Supremacy colt who shaped with plenty of promise when third of 11 on debut at Salisbury (6f) before confirming that potential to win a 6-runner novice (11/4) at Newmarket (6f, good) 39 days ago. Very interesting raider from England who should improve again.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength51%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%14/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%25/06
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
2
5/6
Livenka silks

Juddmonte

2yo Filly · 8-11

Bated Breath - Pavlosk (Arch)

Colin Keane60%1/3G M Lyons
331
7.0Going 9.0

Placed on first 2 starts in maidens (the latter over 7f) and she benefited from the return to a sprint trip when winning a 9-runner maiden at Fairyhouse (6f, good, 5/6) 26 days ago. Leading player on these terms with further improvement likely.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0428/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/068/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%27/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%28/06Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%8/07
Projected finish2nd of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 905/1
Star Prospect silks

John C Oxley

2yo Colt · 9-8

Starman - Swiss Kiss (Dansili)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%0/3J P O'Brien
1303
6.0Class ↓4

Looked highly promising when making a winning debut at the Curragh in April but below that level on his next 2 starts, including in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Back on track when third of 8 in minor event at Cork (5f, good to firm, 5/1) 10 days ago.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/0417/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/0520/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0624/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 50%17/05Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%20/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 12
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
3
OR 8550/1
Alpe d'Huez silks

Middleham Park Racing CV & Partner

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Kodi Bear - Sea Of Joy (Galileo)

Gary CarrollA Watson60%
120
5.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

Knew his job when landing odds in 7-runner novice at Lingfield (6f) in April before finishing second of 13 in Woodcote Stakes at Epsom (6f, good to soft). Seemed to overdo things in front before finished well held in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot and cheekpieces now go on (also gelded).

Class Advantage

30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/045/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0617/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength78%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%5/06Pos 25 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 25 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%17/06
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav6
OR 968/11
South Dakota silks

M Tabor,D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,Westerberg

2yo Colt · 9-8

St Mark's Basilica - Palace (Fastnet Rock)

Wayne Lordan60%0/2A P O'Brien
443
5.0Class ↓4

St Mark's Basilica colt shaped very well under a considerate ride when fourth on debut and took his form up a big notch when filling the same position behind Nola Soul in Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot. Failed to land the odds when third of 5 in a Killarney minor event (1m) since. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0518/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0615/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 57%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 77%18/06Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 50%15/07
Projected finish5th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
18/1
Ranting Duke silks

M Eves

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Zoustar - Ursulina (Kodiac)

Ronan Whelan60%D Dias60%
5D7
4.0Class ↓4Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Passed the post in second at York (6f) second time up but was subsequently disqualified after rider broke the whip rules. Seeming failed to stay 1m in a listed race here last month and gelded since. Visor now applied.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0414/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/054/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength48%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%10/04Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 93%14/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%4/07
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
10
OR 7012/1
Eighteenth Smiles silks

Annus Mirabilis Syndicate

2yo Colt · 9-4

State Of Rest - Banned (Ulysses)

Declan McDonogh0/2J P O'Brien60%
55503
3.0
Cheek pieces

Progressed gradually in maidens before finding drop back in trip against him at Navan (6f). Shaped well having got no sort of run when third of 7 in nursery (12/1) at Galway (7f, soft) 4 days ago and remains open to progress, though isn't sure to benefit from return to sprinting.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0518/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%3/05Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%18/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%31/05Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%11/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%30/07
Projected finish7th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
11
22/1
Lily Bear silks

Fenpark Partnership

2yo Filly · 8-11

Kodi Bear - Aoife Alainn (Dr Fong)

N G McCullagh0/1M C Grassick
70
2.0

Finished runner-up in a barrier trial but soundly beaten in 2 Leopardstown maidens.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0623/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/07
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%11/06Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%23/07
Projected finish8th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
Starlit silks

Boss Ladies Partnership

2yo Filly · 9-3

Starman - Lady Melody (Kodiac)

Shane Foley60%Mrs J Harrington80%
No form3.0

Foaled March 18. €38,000 yearling, Starman filly. Dam sprint maiden. Makes some appeal on paper but debut comes in a hot-looking race.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 12
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
7
9
22/1
El Domino silks

McElholm Family Syndicate

2yo Colt · 9-2

Ardad - Choco Box (Harbour Watch)

Andrew Slattery0/1A Slattery
6
2.0

Ardad colt who refused to settle when sixth of 11 in maiden at Leopardstown (6.5f, good, 22/1) on debut 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%16/07
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
12
11/1
Anglesea Bridge silks

Sean Jones

2yo Colt · 9-0

Soldier's Call - All About Time (Azamour)

Robert WheartyG M Lyons
50
2.0

Soldier's Call colt who looked badly in need of the experience when fifth of 8 in a Fairyhouse minor event (6f) on debut. Possible all wasn't well here 12 days ago but winning this would require plenty of improvement.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/0722/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%1/07Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 24%22/07
Projected finish11th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
8
Maeda Matsu silks

Maeda Matsu Partnership

2yo Filly · 8-9

Dubawi Legend - Poole Belle (Canford Cliffs)

Rory ClearyS Lavery
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled April 19. €50,000 yearling, Dubawi Legend filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 7f winner Bellosa and 2-y-o 5f winner Not For Profit. Dam 6f winner. Interesting newcomer but will likely have to be some way above average to make winning debut in a race of this depth.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish12th of 12
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%