16:00 · Brighton

Bet Responsibly With JenningsBet Handicap

6f 210yGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 63YO onlyTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 5510/3
Shes Got The Blues silks

Mr Ian Furlong

3yo Filly · 9-4

Space Blues - Valtina (Teofilo)

Myla Coppins60%0/4−5lbA W Carroll
354113
8.0Class ↓3

Justified support to open her account in a classified event at Leicester in June before following up in ready fashion in similar company over C&D. Excuses in her hat-trick bid after just 6 days off last time and fancied to be in the mix back from a 6-week break.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par27/044/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 6f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%27/04Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 77%25/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%21/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%27/06
Projected finish1st of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 505/1
Superstorm silks

Bedford House Racing Iii

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Oasis Dream - Mystic Storm (Pivotal)

Mikkel Mortensen0/4−5lbC Fellowes60%
324664
4.0
Visor

Maiden who ran up to his best equipped with cheekpieces when second at Kempton (7f) in April but hasn't replicated that form in 4 subsequent runs, latest in a change of headgear (first-time visor). Better on all-weather than turf so others more appealing.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/0330/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%30/03Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%19/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%29/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 4517/2
Arvana Belle silks

Middleham Park Racing Cxi

3yo Filly · 8-9

Kodi Bear - Israfel (Dark Angel)

David Probert70%B R Millman60%
360735
4.0
Blinkers

Course winner last summer who was back to her best fitted with blinkers with third of 6 at Leicester (7f) last month. Not so good at Salisbury (1m, good) 11 days later but every chance she will bounce back for her in-form handler. 1 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/0927/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 67%Dist: 6f 210y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%29/09Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%18/05Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%14/07Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 4566/1
Snow Day silks

Lpog

3yo Filly · 8-9

Aclaim - Neige D'antan (Aussie Rules)

Molly Gunn−5lbA W Carroll
00086
2.0

Ran best race when sixth of 8 in classified event at Ffos Las (7.4f, good) just over 5 weeks ago, though that was still only poor form. Back in a handicap and big step forward needed again to feature. 1 lb out of weights.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0820/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%26/08Pos 12 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 0%20/09Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%6/05Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%5/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%30/06
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 5615/2
Pennine Way silks

Jon and Julia Aisbitt

3yo Filly · 9-5

Aclaim - Why We Dream (Al Kazeem)

George Bass60%0/5J Channon
546773
4.0

Produced best effort back up in trip/returned to all-weather when third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) 17 days ago. Every chance she can open her account if translating that form back to turf.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/103/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 6f 210y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%23/10Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%11/05Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%26/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%21/07
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
6
OR 5917/2
Solar Phoenix silks

James Dellaway

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Phoenix Of Spain - Dara's Image (Moss Vale)

D C Costello60%R A Teal80%
5560
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Debut fifth at Bath last October wasn't devoid of promise but unable to match that form both starts soon after. Possibly in need of the outing on return/handicap debut at Bath (1m, good) 8 weeks ago and first-time blinkers are reached for.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/1030/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/1020/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/1113/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 6f 210y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%9/10Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%30/10Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%20/11Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 31%13/06
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend