3

A Beauregard

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 11/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12211/11C?C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1312 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 24/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 13024/0222 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 130C0 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 12523/04C?2 @ Strasbourg 27/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1282 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12420/0622 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 1222 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 11925/082projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville21st1st0
2026-07-23Vichy27th7th0
2026-06-20Compiegne27th7th0
2026-05-27Strasbourg216th16th0
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau210th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1131/0320/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
22/12/202512th20/10%27%+0.27
24/02/20266th11/142%67%+0.25
31/03/202610th11/142%40%-0.02
23/04/20266th20/10%67%+0.67
27/05/202616th8/158%0%-0.58
20/06/20267th20/10%50%+0.50
23/07/20267th11/142%60%+0.18
25/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39