3

A Beauregard
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/12/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 31/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/05/2026 | 16th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |