16:18 · Yarmouth

Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap

5f 42yGood to Soft (Soft in Places)Class 43YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 806/4
Diomed Duke silks

Diomed Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Mayson - Three Little Birds (Dandy Man)

Olivia Haines60%2/3−7lbS C Williams60%
552131
8.0
Tongue strap

Has hit top form of late for this rider, just about better than ever for latest success at Lingfield (all-weather) 12 days ago. Up 4 lb but it's same grade back on turf and he needs taking seriously.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0620/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%1/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%17/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish1st of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 737/1
Creative Queen silks

Wathnan Racing

3yo Filly · 9-4

Mitole - Vigui's Heart (Quality Road)

James Doyle80%0/2W J Haggas60%
177326
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Novice winner over 6f here in May. Found only one too good over C&D last month and unlucky not to finish closer at Haydock 11 days ago, nearest at the finish having been denied a clear run. Major player.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/0523/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 42y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%9/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%14/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 705/2
Fiorella Princess silks

Mr S A Herbert

4yo Filly · 9-2

Sands Of Mali - Elegant Drama (Dandy Man)

Billy Loughnane80%R M H Cowell60%
253262
5.0
Cheek pieces

4-y-o filly who held her form well on all-weather earlier this year. Shaped well on first outing since leaving Charlie Wallis after 4 months off when short-head second of 7 to Whizzy Dizzy at Lingfield (5f) last month and she can go one place better with Loughnane booked.

Class Advantage

8/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par8/0124/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%8/01Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%26/02Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%8/04Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 7717/2
Lil Brother silks

Apollo Horses I

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Showcasing - Blank Verse (Dubawi)

Saffie Osborne80%0/1Michael Keady70%
149574
4.0Class ↓4
1st Tongue Strap +2

Landed 5f nursery at Windsor last summer. However, ended the year out of form and failed to come on for last month's belated reappearance when fourth of 6 at Windsor. Back in trip with a tongue tie reached for.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/0826/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par10/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par1/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/12 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places) · 17%Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%18/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%10/10Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%7/08Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%29/08
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 7418/1
Twilight Fun silks

Mr Matt Bartram

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Twilight Son - Sweet Applause (Acclamation)

Joey Haynes60%6/25C Banham60%
306482
6.0
Cheek pieces

Scored at Newcastle (6f) in February and bounced back to that level when second from the front at Wolverhampton in July. Off since but assessor has given him a major chance from this lower turf mark.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/0227/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par13/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%21/02Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%13/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%20/06Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%14/07
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
6
OR 8118/1
Sea Cookie silks

Mr T A Rahman & Mr R Gray

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Dark Angel - Talaaqy (Dansili)

D Egan60%Tom Clover60%
211020
4.0
1st Visor +2

Only had to step up a little on juvenile efforts to get off the mark in Newbury maiden on return and found a good chunk of improvement when following up on Newmarket handicap debut. Limitations rather exposed since but this is a welcome drop in grade fitted with a visor for the first time.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/081/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in Places)Dist: 5f 42y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%10/08Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%9/08Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%22/08
Projected finish6th of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend