17:50 · Thistledown

Race 3 - Allowance

6fFast3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 699/2
My Kinda Party silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

4yo Filly · 8-11

Tale Of Ekati - Helluva Notion (Notional)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%3/13Nestor Rivera60%
143511
8.0Class ↓1Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0425/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%27/04Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%30/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish1st of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav2
OR 7410/3
Illuminate silks

Blazing Meadows Farm LLC

4yo Filly · 8-9

Tom's D'etat - Blazing Bling (Too Much Bling)

Laureano Sosa60%1/1Timothy Hamm60%
621521
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/12 · mark par8/1227/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 17%Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%8/12Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%8/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%11/08
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Value3
OR 725/1
Salute The Kid silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

6yo Mare · 8-7

Kiss The Kid - Prayer Salute (Meadow Prayer)

Deshawn Parker60%0/1Gary Johnson60%
115162
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

8/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/1025/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 17%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%8/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%15/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%30/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 8015/2
Sassy Walker silks

Holly Delaney

6yo Mare · 8-11

Munnings - Sasini (Fastnet Rock)

Jose Bracho60%Richard Zielinski60%
214261
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/12 · mark par18/1215/01 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par5/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par30/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 17%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%18/12Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%5/03Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%30/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 739/1
Small Town Gossip silks

Elkhorn Oaks, Inc

4yo Filly · 8-7

Dominus - Nava (Even The Score)

Luis Rivera60%2/6James Jackson60%
214134
6.0

Class Advantage

21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par21/1016/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 17%Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%21/10Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%30/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%19/08
Projected finish5th of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 6613/2
Dynamic Vision silks

Nana's Nest, Cline, Robert C And Metz, Bryan

3yo Filly · 8-3

Dynamic Racer - Fone Yourself (Mister Phone)

Mauro Cedillo60%Robert Cline60%
161558
4.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par9/102/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Fast · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%23/04Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%15/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%24/08
Projected finish6th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend