15:00 · Uttoxeter

Ready Freddie Go Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m 10yGoodClass 34YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 113
7/4
Axel Bleue silks

Miss Jayne Brace

6yo Gelding · 10-11

Axxos - Sula Bleue (Sulamani)

James Bowen60%4/11M Bowen80%
933121
8.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Point/dual bumper winner who came good at the third time of asking over fences at Worcester in July and has continued his progress since, landing 8-runner handicap chase at same course 23 days ago after a breathing operation. Just 4 lb higher here and is a leading player.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par21/0420/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 3m 10y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%21/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%6/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%22/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 129
13/2
Mt Fugi Park silks

The Fugitives

8yo Gelding · 11-13

Walk In The Park - The Real Athlete (Presenting)

Benjamin Macey60%1/1−5lbJ & A O'Neill70%
P6F1P1
8.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Blinkers

Not the most consistent but very much on a going day when making all in 9-runner handicap chase (14/1) over shorter trip at Worcester 55 days ago by neck from Axel Bleue. Finds himself on a career-high mark now, however, and may face competition for the lead.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/028/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par25/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par26/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par14/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 3m 10y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%21/02Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%25/04Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%14/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/07
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.2%Ahead 3/4
5
Value2
OR 113
7/1
A Definite Getaway silks

Miss Jayne Brace

8yo Gelding · 10-11

Getaway - Def It Vic (Definite Article)

S Bowen80%0/3M Bowen70%
321134
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Better than ever when winning back-to-back at Exeter/Hereford in spring of last year. Below that level in both outings since but is back down to a handy mark and is worth monitoring in the market with Sean Bowen aboard.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/11 · mark par3/1113/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par22/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par7/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par24/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par24/03projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 10y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%3/11Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%2/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 50%7/05Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%24/03
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.3%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 132
10/3
Grand Clermont silks

David Pipe Racing Club

10yo Gelding · 12-2

Maresca Sorrento - Flo De Clermont (Hurricane Cat)

Rian Corcoran60%2/6−5lbD Pipe60%
124124
8.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Ground-versatile sort who has gone from strength to strength for current connections, winning handicaps over C&D and Perth this summer. Continued in good heart since and another bold bid looks on the cards.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par24/0511/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par12/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par26/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 10y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%28/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%26/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%31/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.1%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 127
12/1
Bagheera Ginge silks

Mrs Mary Doney

8yo Gelding · 11-11

Clovis Du Berlais - The Prime Viper (Traditionally)

Sam Twiston-Davies70%4/18N & W Twiston-Davies70%
1P151F
7.0Going 10.0
Visor

At his best when able to dominate and he's been well placed to win 3 of his last 6 starts. However, he has risen significantly in the handicap and was struggling when falling 3 out at Stratford last time.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/075/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par29/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par11/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 3m 10y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%7/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%29/09Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%11/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%29/06
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.9%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 125
15/2
Light N Strike silks

Salvo & Alex Giannini

10yo Gelding · 11-9

Leading Light - One Rose (Roi De Rome)

Ben Jones60%1/5Miss E C Lavelle80%
UP0466
4.0Going 10.0Class ↓2

Scored at Newton Abbot early last season for Emma Lavelle before good third in valuable handicap at this course. Form rather patchy for Mickey Bowen since but rejoined former yard now and figures off a handy mark. Market check advised.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/0529/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par25/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par6/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par7/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 3m 10y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%25/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 24%25/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%7/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/06
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 110
10/1
Gwash silks

The Ravenswell Ladies

7yo Gelding · 10-8

Ol' Man River - My Lady Dane (Vertical Speed)

Tom Broughton60%0/4F O'Brien60%
765327
5.0
Cheek pieces

Not won for some time but matched his best hurdling form when runner-up to Axel Bleue at Worcester in July. Rather let down by his jumping at same course since, though. and others appeal more.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par7/1127/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 3m 10y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 54%7/11Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%1/07Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%22/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.3%Ahead 3/4