13:53 · Redcar

Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap

7f 219yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 705/1
Ephron silks

Middleham Park Racing Lxvi And P Demil

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Calyx - Gudrid (Fastnet Rock)

Connor Beasley60%1/4G Tutty
152716
6.0

Doubled his tally in handicaps at Hamilton (1m) in August but not for the first time this year he failed to back that up when sixth of 9 at Carlisle (1m) 4 weeks ago. Not discounted on best form for all he's tricky to predict.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/0422/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%9/06Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%19/08
Projected finish1st of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
Value2
OR 616/1
Pisanello silks

Trendy Ladies

9yo Gelding · 9-5

Raven's Pass - Painting (Peintre Celebre)

Mark Winn60%3/15D O'Meara70%
611127
7.0
Visor

Not the force of old but resurgent in refitted visor this summer, completing hat-trick of handicap wins (two here) at Hamilton (9f) in August. Shaped as if still in good heart in 2 subsequent runs and likely he can be competitive again for all this is a step back up in grade.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0619/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%25/06Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%9/08Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 669/2
Cosmos Raj silks

Nick Crummack & Partner

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Iffraaj - Cosmos Pink (Dansili)

D Tudhope60%4/13D O'Meara70%
664414
6.0
Cheek pieces

Bounced back to form when capitalising on a much-reduced mark over further here in August. Backed that up without posing a win threat when fourth at Ripon (1¼m) since and this 8-y-o is not out of things in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0616/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%29/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
6
OR 6313/2
Mount King silks

Ryedale Partners No1

6yo Gelding · 9-7

National Defense - Christmas Joy (Galileo)

D Allan60%4/27T D Easterby80%
512946
4.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Switched to blinkers when getting off the mark for the season at Pontefract in July. Good second at the same course next time but it's now over 3 years since he last won away from that venue and finished a never dangerous sixth over an extended mile at Beverley 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0717/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%7/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%26/07Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%29/08
Projected finish4th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
9
OR 708/1
Bowood silks

Miss Chloe Marsh

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Siyouni - Pretty Paper (Medaglia D'oro)

Elle-May Croot60%5/24−5lbI Furtado
657307
3.0

Free-going sort who completed a double over 1m at Newcastle last autumn. Posted some respectable efforts on all-weather/turf this year but rather concerning that he's compromised his chance with slow starts on each of his last 2 outings.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/025/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places)Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%6/02Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 54%26/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 21%25/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%2/09
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
Market Fav3
OR 607/2
Just Typical silks

Mascalls Stud

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Territories - Just Like A Woman (Observatory)

Jason Hart60%Ian Williams60%
584344
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Five-time winner last year (including in this race) and holding his form well of late, not seen to best effect in a modestly-run affair when fourth at Southwell (1m) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces go back on ahead of this and he's lurking on a handy mark.

Class Advantage

10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par10/0110/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places)Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%10/01Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%6/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 77%31/08
Projected finish6th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
4
OR 675/1
Legacy Rock silks

Commercium Ii

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Kameko - Rich Legacy (Holy Roman Emperor)

C Lee70%Dr R Newland80%
112666
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has benefited from the step up to 1m, recording back-to-back wins at Windsor in May. Good effort in defeat when runner-up at Nottingham later that month and hasn't been seen to ideal effect on each of his last 2 starts, not well placed at Southwell last time. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0523/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par31/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 17%Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%4/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%31/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%20/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%31/08
Projected finish7th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
10
OR 6428/1
Law Of Design silks

Letsgiveitago

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Sottsass - Areeda (Refuse To Bend)

P Mulrennan60%Ian Williams60%
595552
5.0Class ↓5
Visor

On a losing sequence but ran creditably equipped with a visor for the first time when second in a big-field contest at Chepstow (1m) 2 weeks ago. A repeat gives him claims from same mark. One of 2 runners representing Ian Williams.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par12/027/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%12/02Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%10/07Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%18/08Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 93%31/08
Projected finish8th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
7
OR 7011/2
Harswell Ruby silks

Harswell Thoroughbred Racing I

4yo Filly · 10-0

Far Above - Spinola (Spinning World)

K Stott70%0/4Roger Fell60%
452440
4.0

Successful over 1m at Thirsk in April and largely gave her running prior to posting a disappointing effort back over aforementioned C&D 32 days ago, held when hampered over 1f out. Likely candidate to bounce back but she's an infrequent winner overall.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0624/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 7f 219y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%13/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%7/07Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%29/07Pos 13 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 13 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%14/08
Projected finish9th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
12
OR 6914/1
Blue Boy Junior silks

Clive And Laura Washbourn

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Space Blues - Homecoming (Zoffany)

D Nolan0/3T D Barron
445
5.0

Space Blues gelding who has displayed promise all 3 starts to date, catching the eye on qualifying run when fifth of 10 in a Southwell novice (1m) 4 weeks ago. Very much the type to improve further now handicapping and he's one to consider.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0418/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0516/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength65%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 77%18/04Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 70%18/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%16/08
Projected finish10th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
8
OR 7033/1
Henry Halflight silks

Foulrice Park Racing Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Dawn Approach - Luminaria (Danehill)

Billy Garritty60%1/3L Bailey
2718
4.0Going 8.0

Confirmed the promise he'd shown on debut when winning a 9-runner maiden at Newcastle (7f) in March. Proved easy to back and in nothing like the same form on handicap debut at Southwell a month later and betting can likely prove useful on this return/turf debut.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0115/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0212/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/035/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par5/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places)Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 75%31/01Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%15/02Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%5/04
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
13
OR 6928/1
Shadow Run silks

L Bond,sheikh Aymen Al Hamandi,j Catli

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Mehmas - Shoshoni Wind (Sleeping Indian)

Christian Howarth60%0/1S Dixon
240256
4.0

Fair form in Ireland for Michael O'Callaghan and ran well on stable debut when second of 6 in 7f Doncaster handicap last month. Two lesser runs have followed and his stamina isn't assured now tackling 1m for the first time.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par22/034/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par14/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 93%22/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%3/06Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%14/08Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
11
OR 6210/1
Viviana silks

Elite Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-1

Oasis Dream - Loretta (Iffraaj)

J Mitchell60%C Johnston
654276
3.0

Back on track when second of 7 in handicap at Carlisle (7f, good to firm) last month and excuses on each of her 2 starts since, unsuited by the emphasis on speed when last of 6 at Kempton (7f) 2 weeks ago. Certainly not one to write off with the step up to 1m worth exploring.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0622/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 7f 219y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%14/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%19/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish13th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend