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13:00 · Uttoxeter

Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

2m 7f 70yGood (Good to Firm in places)Class 44YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 1139/1
Billy Boi Blue silks

Mr L Gill

Billy Boi Blue

9yo Gelding · 11-13

Blue Bresil - Kentucky Sky (Cloudings)

Nick Slatter60%0/4D Killahena & G McPherson60%
P56615
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Capitalised on a much-reduced mark when winning 16-runner handicap over C&D in July, with Torrent in third. Not in same form over fences since but better expected here.

Class Advantage

2/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par2/1119/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par10/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%2/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%13/06Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%23/08
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Top Pick1
OR 10428/1
Betty's Tiara silks

Mrs Emma Palmer

Betty's Tiara

8yo Mare · 11-4

Kayf Tara - Burgundy Betty (Presenting)

Callum Pritchard60%1/4B Pauling90%
467981
6.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

C&D winner who was galvanised by first-time blinkers when narrowly taking 15-runner handicap hurdle at Worcester (23f, good) 27 days ago, given an enterprising ride and just holding on. 4 lb higher now but must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

23/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par23/1113/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%23/11Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%22/05Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 46%24/07Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 1108/1
Crystal Glance silks

Wynnstay Wanderers Ii

Crystal Glance

6yo Mare · 11-10

Passing Glance - Crystal Princess (Definite Article)

Ben Smith60%0/2−6lbO Greenall & J Guerriero60%
3531FP
7.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Course winner who was better than ever when scoring at Bangor in May. Disappointed since but yard is in better form than when last seen. Has had a breathing operation.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/0521/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par1/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/10 · mark par27/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par24/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 100%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%8/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 50%1/10Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%24/11Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/05
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 1077/1
Harry silks

David Pipe Racing Club

Harry

9yo Gelding · 11-7

Maxios - Ajdo (Doyen)

Rian Corcoran60%0/2D Pipe60%
571143
6.0
Blinkers

Three-time winner in France who has posted solid efforts in both starts for new yard on these shores, latest when third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (2½m, good, 7/1) 11 days ago. Dropped 3 lb since and looks worth a crack at this longer trip.

Class Advantage

6/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/121/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 33%Dist: 2m 7f 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 43%6/12Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%23/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%4/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
4
OR 10214/1
Cinnodin silks

The Lakota Partnership

Cinnodin

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Anodin - Cinnilla (Authorized)

Isabelle Ryder60%Jamie Snowden60%
2512P0
6.0
Blinkers

Fairly-useful Flat performer who opened his account in this sphere over C&D in May and backed that up when a good second here 3 weeks later. Performed poorly behind Betty's Tiara since, though, and has a bit to prove now.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/092/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%19/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%21/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%24/05Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%19/08
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav6
OR 1075/1
Torrent silks

Peter Smith & Partner

Torrent

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Camelot - Ighraa (Tamayuz)

Murray Dodd60%0/1N J Hawke60%
P64533
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Course winner who posted best effort for some time when third of 16 to Billy Boi Blue over C&D in July. Below that level at Stratford since but better expected back here (6 lb better off with Billy Boi Blue this time).

Class Advantage

29/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par29/122/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par2/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 45%29/12Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%2/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 87%24/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%20/08
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 11211/1
Pike Road silks

Mr Roger Harrison

Pike Road

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Yeats - Ile De See (Saint Des Saints)

Freddie Keighley60%2/11M Keighley60%
564277
5.0
Cheek pieces

Doubled his hurdles tally under a positive ride over C&D in November prior to a solid fourth at Cheltenham. Been a mixed bag since, however, and ran poorly here latest. Cheekpieces back on. Others preferred.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/012/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par5/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par26/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%1/01Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%5/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%1/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%26/07
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
8
OR 11412/1
Imperial Data silks

Mr E A Brook

Imperial Data

9yo Gelding · 12-0

Imperial Monarch - Rindoon's Sister (Witness Box)

Charlie MaggsR Menzies70%
34P8F6
4.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Dual winner last summer but nowhere near that form this term and is now tried in first-time visor.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/0725/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par5/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 7f 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%25/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%25/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%31/08
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend