17:30 · Wolverhampton

Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap

7f 36yStandardClass 53YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 73
6/1
Chale Chalo silks

Laurence Bellman

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Ubettabelieveit - Capomento (Casamento)

Oisin Murphy80%Tom Dascombe70%
129086
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
1st Visor +2

Dual winner as a juvenile who hasn't fired since finishing second in a 3-y-o handicap at Southwell (1m) on New Year's Day. Does at least benefit from a drop in grade here.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par3/121/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%3/12Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%20/06Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%27/07Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%3/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 72
5/2
Piazza silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Willow

3yo Filly · 9-7

Starspangledbanner - Indigo Angel (Dark Angel)

Jack Callan60%0/2Ollie Sangster
457212
6.0

Improved model of late, building on her Ffos Las second when opening her account at Kempton (7f) in August. Matched that form in spite of steady gallop when finding only one too good at Yarmouth (1m) 16 days ago and she's of interest again.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/0829/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%30/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%16/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.0%Ahead 2/4
7
Value2
OR 64
14/1
Station Bar silks

Mrs R F Johnson Houghton

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Oasis Dream - Madame Tantzy (Champs Elysees)

Charles Bishop1/8Eve Johnson Houghton100%
681546
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Gone the wrong way since getting off the mark in 3-runner Bath handicap in May, not for the first time looking a little uncooperative when last of 6 in handicap at Brighton (7f) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces worn then now replaced by blinkers and others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0430/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%11/04Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%4/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.8%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 74
7/1
Siouxpersonic silks

Nick Bradley Racing 26 & Julie Camacho

3yo Filly · 9-9

Sioux Nation - Gold Lace (Invincible Spirit)

Ryan Sexton0/2Miss J A Camacho
712407
4.0Class ↓3

Ended 2-y-o campaign with success in a Southwell maiden (5f) and matched that form starting out for new yard when edged out at Ripon (6f) in April. Lightly raced and not at that level since, albeit possibly in need of the run after 11 weeks off at Musselburgh 22 days ago. This is less demanding.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/0927/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par27/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 36y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%11/09Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%25/04Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 18%12/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%24/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.6%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 72
16/1
Here I Bow silks

Blue Chip Bloodstock

3yo Filly · 9-7

Bow Creek - So Like Your Moves (Rio De La Plata)

Jonny Peate0/3Oli Rix100%
270858
2.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

Fairly useful 7f winner when trained in France last year. However, has finished soundly beaten all 5 starts in turf handicaps for new yard this season. Cheekpieces/tongue strap reached for on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/1030/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par11/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 86%6/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%11/05Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%20/08Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 73
5/1
Rogue Exile silks

The Rogues Gallery

3yo Colt · 9-8

Blue Point - Nayala (Maxios)

Harry Davies60%1/3James Owen60%
217
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

By a sprinter/out of a stayer and didn't need to improve on his encouraging debut second when off the mark in a 5-runner Lingfield maiden (7f) last month. Not 100% when well held on handicap debut at Chepstow (7f) 4 weeks ago but no surprise to see him get back on track. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/071/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0818/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%15/07Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%18/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.7%Ahead 0/3
6
Market Fav7
OR 71
9/4
Justice Court silks

Mr Khalifa Dasmal

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Sands Of Mali - Tatsia (Showcasing)

William Carver0/1J A Osborne
328
4.0
Tongue strap

Built on an encouraging debut second after 8 months off when second of 5 in a Lingfield maiden (7f) early on last month. Proved disappointing when checking out tamely over 1m there since but it remains early days now attentions switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/121/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0817/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength21%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%3/12Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%1/08Pos 8 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 8 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 22%17/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.3%Ahead 0/3