14:53 · Redcar

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 2f 1yGood (Good to Firm in Places)Class 43YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 8711/8
Supplicate silks

Cheveley Park Stud

3yo Filly · 9-12

Ulysses - Plead (Dutch Art)

J Mitchell60%3/4R Varian60%
51111
9.0Going 8.0

Progressive filly. Won all 4 starts since an eye-catching debut last October, making the most of good opportunity when landing 4-runner contest at Salisbury (1¼m) 33 days ago. That wasn't the deepest of races but she's clearly on a roll for her top yard and may not have yet reached her ceiling.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/103/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par13/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 20%Dist: 1m 2f 1y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%29/10Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%3/12Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/08
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 864/1
Obito silks

Mr G Rutter

4yo Gelding · 10-3

Blue Point - All Time (Dansili)

D Tudhope60%1/11D O'Meara60%
825513
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Hood

Back to his best when winning a 13-runner handicap at Ayr (1¼m, good) under a very good ride 2 starts back. Ran every bit as well on the back of a 6 lb rise when staying on for third at Goodwood 16 days ago and should go well again for all he's operating from a career-high mark.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 22%15/05Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%19/06Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 784/1
Magical Merlot silks

Mr Johnny Hall

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Make Believe - Melodic Motion (Nathaniel)

Jason Hart60%E A L Dunlop
534341
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Ended juvenile campaign with success at Brighton (1m) in the autumn. Mixed bag so far this season but better start/prominent pitch undoubtedly helped when adding to his tally over this trip at Newbury 3 weeks ago. That may not prove his limit at this trip.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0411/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par13/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 1y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%7/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%6/06Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%13/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 7714/1
Pol Roger silks

Mr J Sagar

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Churchill - Passegiata (Mastercraftsman)

Connor Beasley60%3/23M Dods60%
823412
7.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Ended a long losing sequence in 13-runner handicap at Ayr (1¼m, good to firm) in August and emerged with plenty of credit having been in front well before the winner in a strongly-run race when runner up at Haydock 12 days ago. Can be competitive again on back of a 2 lb rise.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/042/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 1y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%10/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%3/09
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 7566/1
League Of Justice silks

Mostly Cloudy Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Justify - Apt (A P Indy)

Jake Dickson60%0/1−5lbG Tutty
643
5.0

Son of Justify who stepped up plenty on his first 2 starts when third in a Newcastle novice (7f) 10 days ago, picking up to good effect late on. This step up in trip promises to suit on that evidence now handicapping for all the assessor looks to have taken no chances with opening mark.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0711/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/085/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 1y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 58%23/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%11/08Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 6925/1
Enamorus silks

The Gene Genies III

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mehmas - Perfect Light (Galileo)

Jack Nicholls60%H Palmer80%
235938
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Placed all 3 starts at 2 yrs and produced her best effort to date in first-time cheekpieces when third of 9 in handicap at Beverley (8.5f, good) in July. Possibly not 100% when well held at Sandown later that month but has been given a 7-week break and she's worth another crack at this trip.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0713/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places) · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 1y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%25/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%29/05Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%4/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%29/07
Projected finish6th of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 66100/1
Panelli silks

Mr A Waite

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Kingman - Via Condotti (Galileo)

A Mullen70%M E Sowersby60%
224477
3.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Opened account at Lingfield last autumn on final outing for George Boughey. Runner-up twice on all-weather for Stuart Williams earlier this year and not disgraced for all he was friendless in betting when seventh at Beverley (8.5f, heavy) on yard debut 16 days ago. Still, more needed up in trip.

Class Advantage

21/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par21/0112/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in Places)Dist: 1m 2f 1y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%21/01Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%9/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%30/08
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend