17:11 · Fort Erie

Race 3 - Claiming

1mFirm3YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 6812/1
Mymathes Correct silks

David Mathes

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Frac Daddy - Lady Sarah (Whywhywhy)

Xarel FordeJulie Mathes60%
461518
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/1125/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength93%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/11Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%10/08
Projected finish1st of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 745/1
Globetrotting silks

Colebrook Farms

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Liam's Map - Irene Adler (Bernardini)

Da Sean Gaskin60%1/3Kevin Buttigieg60%
477143
6.0

Class Advantage

24/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par24/036/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par21/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%24/03Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%3/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
6
OR 744/1
Little Red Domi silks

Tim Orlando

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Signature Red - Treasure At Sea (Take Charge Indy)

Juan Crawford60%1/3Beverley Chubb60%
235813
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

24/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par24/1014/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%24/10Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 92%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%8/05Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Value2
OR 8412/1
Delian League silks

Brian Albertson

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Classic Empire - Queen Of Troy (Street Cry)

Prayven Badrie1/5Philip Hall
635153
5.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

9/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0523/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%9/05Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%12/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%7/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%23/08
Projected finish4th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 769/2
Star Scholar silks

Carpenter, Denise And Simms, John

8yo Gelding · 8-10

Society's Chairman - Call Me Baby (El Nino)

Jeffrey Alderson60%John Simms
331435
6.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0521/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%31/05Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%10/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%31/08
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav8
OR 747/2
Buttonwood Tree silks

Icon Racing Stables

7yo Gelding · 8-12

Stanford - Wall St Widow (Hennessy)

Sofia Vives60%Anthony Adamo70%
533466
3.0

Class Advantage

6/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/0822/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par14/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%14/10Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%9/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%21/08
Projected finish6th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 7120/1
Thelonious silks

Ashley Palmer

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Commissioner - Tactical Gift (Tactical Cat)

Michael David60%0/1Kenneth Smith
546867
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par21/1029/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%21/10Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%12/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%10/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%31/08
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
7
OR 7320/1
Conn Smythe silks

Nadezda Dohnalova

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Mohaather - Habita (Montjeu)

Desean Bynoe0/1Desmond Maynard
115577
3.0

Class Advantage

24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par24/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%30/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%18/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend