1
Chess
5yo Colt · 9-7
Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 53% | -0.02 |
| 11/12/2025 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 25/08/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |