8

Dempy

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 31/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 13131/0133 @ Chantilly 25/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1292 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12015/0322 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 118C0 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 11923/04C?2 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1212 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12020/0623 @ Saint-Cloud 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1282 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 11825/082projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville27th7th0
2026-07-08Saint-Cloud31st1st0
2026-06-20Compiegne210th10th0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp27th7th0
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-04-12ParisLongchamp24th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0112/0420/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20267th15/261%54%-0.07
25/02/20267th11/271%50%-0.21
15/03/20265th15/261%73%+0.13
12/04/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
23/04/20263rd12/137%87%+0.50
07/05/20267th11/142%60%+0.18
20/06/202610th10/147%25%-0.22
08/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/08/20267th12/137%60%+0.23