9

Haviassor

8yo Gelding · 8-9

Compiegne · Prix Des Bords De L'oise Handicap · 1m 5f 202y

#14

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12222/12C?2 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 122C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12410/03C?2 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 121C0 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 11923/04C?3 @ Saint-Cloud 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 1232 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1282/0622 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 1203 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 13225/083projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville310th10th0
2026-06-20Compiegne24th4th0
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud29th9th0
2026-05-15Saint-Cloud32nd2nd0
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp?15th15th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau23rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1231/032/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/202510th5/174%40%-0.34
16/01/20267th16/116%60%+0.44
10/03/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
31/03/20263rd3/184%87%+0.02
23/04/202615th15/261%7%-0.54
15/05/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
02/06/20269th17/255%43%-0.12
20/06/20264th10/147%75%+0.28
25/08/202610th17/255%36%-0.20